About Alex: a pen name. There is no shop behind it, and no results are claimed. What follows is arithmetic and opinion, and I'll mark which is which.
In short
Before you pay for a tool, answer five questions on paper: what exact problem, which number will move, what the no-cost or manual way would show first, what it costs a year in sales, and how you would leave. Then write one line: buy, wait or no. (The five questions and their order are my judgement, not a standard.)
What you get from reading it:
- A one-page Tool Decision Sheet you can copy
- Two imaginary purchases worked through, one that passes and one that waits
- A 12-month cost table that turns a monthly price into the sales needed to cover it
A tool looks small on the day you buy it: a few dollars a month and a button that says start. The price is easy to wave through because it doesn't arrive as one number. It arrives twelve times.
I'm not against paid tools; a section below says when I'd say yes. My worry is the purchase that feels like progress and teaches you nothing, because you didn't write down what it was supposed to change. If you can't say what would look different in three months, you have a hope, and a hope is cheaper to keep on a list than on a card statement.
This guide gives you five questions, a sheet and a decision line. It is tool-agnostic on purpose: I name no product and state nothing about any company's plans or prices. Your tool's own page is the place for those facts.
Who this is for. A small seller, on a marketplace or your own site, looking at a specific paid tool or subscription right now.
What it costs. Nothing. A pen and the tool's pricing page open in a tab. Allow about twenty minutes the first time.
A note on "free". I can't know whether your tool has a free plan or trial, or what it limits. Read that page and write the limits down; Question 3 covers it.
One imaginary seller carries the examples. Nina sells planner templates. She is not a real person, and every number attached to her is invented to show the arithmetic.
Write it as one sentence that doesn't contain the tool's name.
"I need a better design tool" fails, because it already contains the answer. "My preview images take me forty minutes each and I put off listing new products" passes: it names a problem you could point to, and a different solution could also fix it.
Test: could a friend who knows nothing about the tool read your sentence and suggest something else? If so, it's about a problem. If they'd say "ah, so you want that tool", it's about a product.
One more check: the sentence says what goes wrong in your shop now, not what you wish you had. "Customers wait for their files" beats "I want automation".
If the honest sentence is "I saw it recommended and it looked useful", write that down. It is a legitimate start; move to Question 3 with a smaller question: what would I want to find out before I knew whether I need it?
If your problem is really "the shop isn't selling and I don't know why", a tool is the wrong first move. Why Your Shop Isn't Growing shows how to find which stage leaks before you pay for anything.
A tool earns its fee through a number: sales, orders out of visits, refunds, hours, a cost per sale. Pick one, and write down three things.
Hours count as a number if you log them: "I spent 140 minutes last month sending files by hand" is testable; "it will save me time" is a feeling.
A caution about time. I'd count saved hours only if you know what you'd do with them; an hour freed and spent scrolling hasn't been turned into anything. That's my judgement, and you may weigh your hours differently. Decide it on paper rather than at the checkout.
If you can't name a number at all, the decision is wait. Not no, only wait, until you can say what you'd look at.
Before paying, try the cheap version of the same job for a short, fixed stretch. A spreadsheet instead of a planner app. A saved reply instead of an automation. Doing the task by hand for four weeks, with the Question 2 number written down.
This question does two jobs. It may solve the problem, and then you've saved the fee. If it doesn't, it shows you where it fails, which tells you what the paid tool must do: "the manual way failed because I'm away on weekends" is a feature list; "I just want less hassle" isn't.
Write down what you'll try, for how long, and what you'd count as the result. Dates in advance, as in any test: a stretch without dates can drift into a stretch without an answer.
Sometimes the task can't be done by hand at all. Say so on the sheet and explain why; that is a defensible reason to buy. "I didn't feel like trying" is not.
One honest limit: a short manual trial tells you about the problem, not about how well the tool works. A trial or free plan, if one exists, is where to learn that.
A monthly price is built to look small, so do two steps.
Step one: multiply by 12. Include extra charges you can already see on the pricing page: add-ons, extra seats, a higher tier you'd need. If a price is quoted per year, divide it by 12 for comparison and note the charge date.
Step two: turn the year's cost into sales. Divide it by your profit per sale, rounded up. That is the number of extra sales, or saved costs of that size, the tool must produce before it has paid for itself. How to get your profit per sale is in Price Your Digital Product So It Actually Leaves Profit; take the number after fees and costs, not the price.
Revenue flatters: a tool that "brings in $400" sounds fine until you remember what a sale leaves you. In a made-up case, $400 of revenue could be $120 of profit, and only the second pays a fee.
Nina's imaginary profit per sale is $14.00. A $9 monthly tool costs $108 a year, and 108 ÷ 14 = 7.71, so 8 sales' worth of profit. A $29 tool costs $348 a year: 348 ÷ 14 = 24.86, so 25 sales. The full table is further down.
Then ask the only question the arithmetic can't answer: is it believable that this tool will do that, for your problem, in your shop? I can't tell you. Write your reasoning in a sentence.
If your profit per sale is zero or negative, no number of sales covers a fee. Fix price or costs first.
Before paying, find four answers in the tool's own pages and terms. I don't know your tool, so I can't give them to you.
Then pick a date to decide whether to keep it: a calendar entry, three months out or sooner, with the Question 2 number next to it. Without one, a subscription is kept by default.
If leaving looks hard and you still want the tool, I'd pick a smaller commitment or write down plainly what you're accepting. Both beat discovering it in month nine.
Copy this box and fill it in with the pricing page open.
TOOL DECISION SHEET date: ____
Tool: ______________________
1. THE PROBLEM (one sentence,
no tool name):
__________________________
2. THE NUMBER
Number: ___________________
Now: _______ Read it at: ___
Move I need to see: ________
3. NO-COST OR MANUAL WAY FIRST
I will try: ______________
From ____ to ____
Result: ___________________
(or: cannot be done by hand,
because ____)
4. COST
Per month: $ ____
x 12 = $ ____
Profit per sale: $ ____
Sales to cover it =
yearly cost / profit,
round UP: ____
Believable because: ______
5. EXIT
Cancel at: _______________
Renews on: _______________
My data leaves as: _______
Decide to keep by: _______
DECISION (one line):
BUY / WAIT / NO, because ___
Re-check on: ____
Two rules for the last line. "Because" must contain a number or a date, not a mood. And if any of Questions 1 to 3 is blank, the line says WAIT. Blank in 4 or 5 means you haven't finished looking, which is also a wait.
Nina is imaginary, as is everything below. Her shop, tools and numbers are invented to show how the sheet reads. They are not typical results, and the "tools" aren't real products.
Her practice numbers: profit per sale $14.00 (after fees and costs), 12 orders a month from 600 visits, which is 2% and about $168 of profit a month. She also gets 2 refund requests a month, deliberately high so the sum is visible. I recomputed all of this in Python before writing it.
Nina sells on her own site and sends each file by hand.
NINA'S SHEET A (imaginary)
1. PROBLEM: Some buyers wait more
than a day for their file.
2. NUMBER: refund requests that
mention waiting. Now: 2 a month.
Read at: her order notes.
Move I need: at least 2 fewer
over two months.
3. MANUAL FIRST: saved reply and a
daily reminder, 4 weeks.
Result: 5 of 12 orders late; she
is away at weekends. Refund
requests in the 4 weeks: 2.
4. COST: $9 x 12 = $108.
108 / 14.00 = 7.71 -> 8 sales.
Believable: avoiding 1 refund
keeps one $14.00 profit.
5. EXIT: cancel on the account
page; renews on the 3rd; orders
export as a file. Decide: 3 Feb.
DECISION: BUY, because 2 waiting
refunds a month cost $28 and the
manual way left 5 of 12 orders
late. Re-check on 3 Feb.
Why this passes, line by line:
Here the bar matters. In her imaginary world, avoiding one refund a month leaves $14 − $9 = $5 ahead; avoiding one every two months leaves $7 − $9 = −$2 behind. So her bar of two fewer in two months separates a tool that pays for itself from one that doesn't, and she wrote it before she bought.
This example doesn't say that a real delivery tool would prevent refunds, or that refunds work this way on any platform (here a refund removes that sale's $14 profit; check how yours treats fees).
Nina has seen a subscription that suggests which phrases buyers search for.
NINA'S SHEET B (imaginary)
1. PROBLEM: I'm not sure which
words to use in my titles.
2. NUMBER: none picked yet.
Maybe visits? No counter on
which title brought which visit.
3. MANUAL FIRST: not tried.
4. COST: $29 x 12 = $348.
348 / 14.00 = 24.86 -> 25 sales.
That is about 2 extra sales a
month (25 a year) on her 12,
roughly 17% more. The table
rounds up to 3 a month.
Believable because: ____
5. EXIT: not checked.
DECISION: WAIT, because Questions
2, 3 and 5 are blank. Re-check
on 30 Nov with a manual list of
20 phrases tried on 3 titles.
Why this waits:
Waiting isn't no. She gives herself a four-week manual trial with a date. If the manual list stalls at a point she can describe, Sheet B comes back with Questions 2 and 3 filled in. If it doesn't, she has kept $348. The same questions reach opposite answers; that's the point of writing them down.
The table uses Nina's imaginary profit per sale of $14.00. Swap in your own number. The last column rounds up, because you can't sell 0.3 of a sale.
| Monthly price | x 12 | Sales to cover the year | Sales a month to cover it |
|---|---|---|---|
| $5 | $60 | 5 | 1 |
| $9 | $108 | 8 | 1 |
| $15 | $180 | 13 | 2 |
| $24 | $288 | 21 | 2 |
| $29 | $348 | 25 | 3 |
| $49 | $588 | 42 | 4 |
Check one row by hand: $24 × 12 = $288, and 288 ÷ 14 = 20.57, which rounds up to 21. Twenty sales would be $280, which falls short. The $49 row is exact: 588 ÷ 14 = 42.0.
Reading it: a $9 tool asks Nina for one extra sale a month, a $49 tool for four. The table can't tell you whether the tool delivers them; it only tells you what you are betting.
Two limits. The table covers fees only, not your setup time or any charge the pricing page doesn't show. And only sales brought by the tool count; sales you'd have made anyway don't pay it back, and you may not be able to tell them apart. That's why Question 2 insists on a number you can read.
Here is when I'd say yes. This is my judgement, not a rule.
A yes that meets the first two points and not the rest can still be reasonable; write which points you're skipping and why. A plain no is a good outcome too: closing the tab with a sheet in your folder and $348 still in your account is a result.
| Symptom | Likely cause | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| You can't write the problem without the tool's name | You started from the product | Describe what goes wrong in your shop this month |
| The number you pick has no counter | Nothing in your setup records it | Start a tally by hand for four weeks before deciding |
| Profit per sale is thin | Price or costs are the issue | Work through the price guide before any tool |
| The tool is a team plan and you are solo | Plan size mismatch | Write down the price of the smallest plan you'd actually use |
What if the tool saves time rather than making money? Then the number is hours, and Question 2 asks you to log them first. Whether they are worth the fee is your call.
What if everyone recommends it? A recommendation may only tell you that someone else had a problem. Question 1 asks whether you have it.
Should I wait for a discount? A discount changes Question 4's number, and may change the renewal answer in Question 5, but not the other three. If the sheet says wait, a lower price doesn't change that.
Can I use this for a one-off purchase, not a subscription? Yes. Skip the "x 12" and use the one-time price against your profit per sale.
Fill in the sheet for the one tool you're looking at. If the decision is wait, put the re-check date in your calendar today.
If Questions 1 and 2 felt vague, Why Your Shop Isn't Growing is the better place to start. If Question 4 stalled because you don't know your profit per sale, Price Your Digital Product So It Actually Leaves Profit walks through it.
If the problem you wrote is that the page doesn't convert, Audit Your Product Page in 30 Minutes costs half an hour. None of this needs a new tool.
How we checked: No external source was used: no platform page, tool, price, statistic or law is cited, and no real product is named. All numbers are invented or arithmetic.
On 26 October 2026 the arithmetic was recomputed with Python.
The figures (Nina: profit per sale 14.00; yearly profit 2,016.00 on 144 orders; $9 tool: 108 a year, 7.71 so 8 sales, 5.4% of yearly profit (108 / 2,016; 8 of 144 orders is 5.6%), 0.64 refunds a month to break even; one refund avoided a month leaves 5.00, one every two months leaves -2.00;
$29 tool: 348 a year, 24.86 so 25 sales, 3 a month, 17.4% of yearly orders; table rows 60/5, 108/8, 180/13, 288/21, 348/25, 588/42). The script and its output are saved with the batch notes. Nothing has been used in a real shop.
Opinion, not fact: The five questions, their order, the rule that blank answers mean wait, the view on counting saved hours, and the list under "When to say yes" are my judgement.
Unverified: How any real tool bills, renews, cancels or exports data; whether a trial or free plan exists for any tool; how a given platform treats fees on a refund. The worksheet has not yet been used by a real seller.
What this guide does not claim: That any tool is worth or not worth buying, that any imaginary seller existed, that the sales in the table will arrive, or that following the sheet will raise profit.